7

Sparkling Jem

2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 34

Lingfield · Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 EBF Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1) (AWT) · 7f 1y

#9

Rank

Odds

200/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Timeform

Commentary

Little promise in 6f/7f maidens/novice.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength8%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 8.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Windsor 23/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 6f12y GF 12223/0554 @ Lingfield 04/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 6f1y Std 1284/0644 @ Kempton 29/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 7f Sta 12229/064projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-29Kempton46th6th0
2026-06-04Lingfield48th8th0
2026-05-23Windsor511th12th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/054/0629/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength61%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/05/202611th80/10%9%+0.09
04/06/20268th200/10%22%+0.22
29/06/20266th200/10%44%+0.44