2

Jazzy Blue

2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 69

Lingfield · Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 EBF Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 2) (AWT) · 7f 1y

#1

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

95%

Place Prob

76%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ran well again when finding only a useful prospect too good at Wolverhampton (7f) a fortnight ago, drawn widest and keeping on. Leading claims on that showing.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Yarmouth 13/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 6f3y GS 12813/0544 @ Leicester 08/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 7f Goo 1288/0645 @ Yarmouth 26/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 6f3y GF 12526/0654 @ Wolverhampton 21/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 68 · 7f36y Std 125 · beat its mark21/07/2026 · OR 68 par21/074OR 68projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-21Wolverhampton42nd2nd0
2026-06-26Yarmouth55th6th1
2026-06-08Leicester42nd2nd0
2026-05-13Yarmouth46th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/058/0626/0621/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength79%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/05/20266th18/15%29%+0.23
08/06/20262nd6/168%88%+0.19
26/06/20265th15/261%67%+0.06
21/07/20262nd7/282%88%+0.06