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3

Lushill

2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 62

Lingfield · Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 EBF Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 2) (AWT) · 7f 1y

#3

Rank

Odds

9/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ran to a modest level again when second in 7-runner Chepstow maiden (7f) last month. Needs a bit more if she's to open her account now switched to all-weather.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newbury 23/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 6f Goo 12223/0645 @ Chepstow 27/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 6f16y GF 12327/0654 @ Chepstow 08/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 7f16y GF 1288/074projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-08Chepstow42nd2nd0
2026-06-27Chepstow53rd4th−1
2026-06-23Newbury45th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0627/068/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength48%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/06/20265th100/10%56%+0.56
27/06/20263rd15/261%71%+0.11
08/07/20262nd9/488%83%-0.05