Havana Sky
5yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 62
Lingfield · John Cunliffe OBF 80th Birthday Handicap (AWT) · 6f 1y
#2
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Lingfield | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-19 | Newmarket | 5 | 16th | 15th | +1 |
| 2026-06-01 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-03-03 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-01-14 | Lingfield | 5 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/12/2025 | 12th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 22/12/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 91% | +0.54 |
| 04/01/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 14/01/2026 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 0% | -0.42 |
| 03/03/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 63% | -0.06 |
| 01/06/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 73% | +0.02 |
| 19/06/2026 | 16th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/07/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 13/07/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |