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6

Just Jump

4yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 62

Lingfield · John Cunliffe OBF 80th Birthday Handicap (AWT) · 6f 1y

#6

Rank

Odds

9/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Quirky sort who refused to race in May but landed gamble at Windsor (5f) the following month. Done no favours when hampered by hanging winner when fifth at Newbury subsequently and warrants respect here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength45%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA59 @ Dundalk 28/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 59 · 5f Std 141 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/11/2025 · OR 59 par28/1159OR 59BHA58 @ Dundalk 10/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 58 · 7f Std 140 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/12/2025 · OR 58 parBHA56 @ Dundalk 17/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 56 · 5f Std 138 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/12/2025 · OR 56 par17/1256OR 566 @ Lingfield 25/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 57 · 6f1y Std 131 · beat its mark25/02/2026 · OR 57 par6 @ Wolverhampton 13/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 58 · 6f20y Std 128 · beat its mark13/03/2026 · OR 58 par13/036OR 586 @ Kempton 25/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 58 · 6f Sta 133 · beat its mark25/03/2026 · OR 58 par6 @ Kempton 08/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 57 · 6f Sta 128 · beat its mark08/04/2026 · OR 57 par8/046OR 576 @ Windsor 22/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 56 · 5f21y GF 131 · beat its mark22/06/2026 · OR 56 par5 @ Newbury 02/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 56 · 5f34y GF 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/07/2026 · OR 56 par2/075OR 56projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-02Newbury55th4th+1
2026-06-22Windsor61st1st0
2026-05-23Windsor60
2026-04-08Kempton68th8th0
2026-03-25Kempton65th5th0
2026-03-13Wolverhampton67th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/1125/028/042/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 11
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength67%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/11/20254th4/179%63%-0.16
10/12/20257th12/137%40%+0.03
17/12/20253rd10/147%82%+0.34
25/02/20263rd14/126%67%+0.40
13/03/20267th9/276%33%-0.43
25/03/20265th10/382%60%-0.22
08/04/20268th14/126%30%+0.04
22/06/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
02/07/20265th9/488%43%-0.45