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Russian Rumour

9yo Mare · 10-0 · OR 78

Lingfield · Trusted Betting Site Comparison gambling.com Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

17/2

Win Prob

97%

Place Prob

84%

Rank

#1

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Picked up where she left off in 2025 with victory in 4-runner contest at Nottingham (1¾m) in May. Unsuited by the emphasis on speed when last of 3 at Newbury (2m) 6 weeks ago, though she might face a similar scenario here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength71%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Bath 06/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 68 · 1m6f Gd 135 · beat its mark06/06/2025 · OR 68 par6/065OR 685 @ Lingfield 18/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 3 · OR 69 · 2m68y GF 129 · beat its mark18/06/2025 · OR 69 par4 @ York 12/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 71 · 2m56y Goo 126 · beat its mark12/07/2025 · OR 71 par12/074OR 712 @ Bath 14/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 71 · 1m6f Sft 138 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/09/2025 · OR 71 par5 @ Ffos Las 28/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 71 · 2m Hvy 142 · beat its mark28/09/2025 · OR 71 par28/095OR 714 @ Nottingham 09/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 78 · 1m6f Goo 138 · beat its mark09/05/2026 · OR 78 par4 @ Lingfield 26/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 80 · 1m6f Goo 130 · beat its mark26/05/2026 · OR 80 par26/054OR 803 @ Goodwood 07/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 80 · 2m Sft 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/06/2026 · OR 80 par4 @ Newbury 23/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 3 · OR 79 · 2m Goo 137 · below its mark23/06/2026 · OR 79 par23/064OR 79projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-23Newbury43rd3rd0
2026-06-07Goodwood34th3rd+1
2026-05-26Lingfield43rd3rd0
2026-05-09Nottingham41st1st0
2025-09-28Ffos Las51st2nd−1
2025-09-14Bath23rd1st+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0614/0926/0523/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 4
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength27%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 4. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/06/20255th16/583%20%-0.63
18/06/20251st5/174%100%+0.26
12/07/20255th12/137%56%+0.19
14/09/20253rd9/153%82%+0.29
28/09/20251st9/488%100%+0.12
09/05/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
26/05/20263rd2/189%33%-0.56
07/06/20264th10/147%40%-0.07
23/06/20263rd17/255%0%-0.55