3
Taritino
6yo Gelding · 9-13 · OR 77
Lingfield · Trusted Betting Site Comparison gambling.com Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength51%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Ascot | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Chester | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-14 | Salisbury | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Bath | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-14 | Fontwell | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Taunton | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 4
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength49%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 4. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 16/03/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |
| 17/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 89% | +0.13 |
| 22/04/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 14/05/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 29% | -0.45 |
| 05/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 14/06/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 27/06/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 25/07/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 79% | +0.63 |