Douglas Dc
8yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 48
Lingfield · Best Betting Sites At gambling.com Handicap · 1m 3f 133y
#5
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Lingfield | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Brighton | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Bath | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Windsor | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-11-06 | Newbury | 3 | 11th | 7th | +3 |
| 2025-10-22 | Worcester | 4 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08/2025 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 05/09/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |
| 26/09/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 22/10/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 54% | +0.06 |
| 06/11/2025 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 07/05/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 05/06/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 21/06/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 13/07/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |