4
Gearing's Point
8yo Mare · 9-4 · OR 50
Lingfield · Best Betting Sites At gambling.com Handicap · 1m 3f 133y
#1
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
93%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength32%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | Epsom Downs | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Brighton | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Brighton | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Leicester | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Windsor | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Lingfield | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength33%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/01/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 17/01/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 10/02/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 25/03/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 64% | +0.08 |
| 07/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 90% | +0.14 |
| 25/05/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 33% | -0.56 |
| 21/06/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 13% | -0.35 |
| 22/06/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 01/07/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |