Hope Rising
5yo Mare · 9-9 · OR 55
Lingfield · Best Betting Sites At gambling.com Handicap · 1m 3f 133y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Bath | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Uttoxeter | 4 | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-05-30 | Stratford | 3 | 2nd | -2th | +3 |
| 2026-05-07 | Huntingdon | 4 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2025-10-11 | Chepstow | 2 | +4 | ||
| 2025-09-09 | Newton Abbot | 3 | 2nd | -2th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 88% | -0.01 |
| 08/07/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 20/07/2025 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 21/08/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 09/09/2025 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 07/05/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 30/05/2026 | 2nd | 85/40 | 89% | 75% | -0.14 |
| 28/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 15/07/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 57% | -0.17 |