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6

Pablo Prince

8yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 47

Lingfield · Best Betting Sites At gambling.com Handicap · 1m 3f 133y

#3

Rank

Odds

28/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#3

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Not the same force as when successful 3 times at this course in 2022/23. Hit the frame a couple of times this year but his recent profile is off-putting.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Chelmsford City 26/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 47 · 1m5f66y Std 128 · beat its mark26/11/2025 · OR 47 par26/116OR 476 @ Lingfield 10/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 49 · 1m4f Std 126 · beat its mark10/02/2026 · OR 49 par6 @ Chelmsford City 26/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 48 · 1m2f Std 128 · beat its mark26/02/2026 · OR 48 par26/026OR 486 @ Lingfield 25/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 50 · 1m4f Std 135 · beat its mark25/03/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Kempton 08/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 50 · 1m3f219y Sta 120 · beat its mark08/04/2026 · OR 50 par8/046OR 506 @ Kempton 20/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 50 · 1m3f219y Sta 125 · beat its mark20/05/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Lingfield 18/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 49 · 1m2f Goo 135 · beat its mark18/06/2026 · OR 49 par18/066OR 496 @ Epsom Downs 01/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 48 · 1m4f6y Goo 132 · beat its mark01/07/2026 · OR 48 par6 @ Lingfield 13/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 47 · 1m4f1y Std 135 · beat its mark13/07/2026 · OR 47 par13/076OR 47projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-13Lingfield66th6th0
2026-07-01Epsom Downs67th7th0
2026-06-18Lingfield64th4th0
2026-05-20Kempton67th7th0
2026-04-08Kempton66th6th0
2026-03-25Lingfield64th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/1125/0318/0613/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength27%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/11/20252nd16/116%92%+0.76
10/02/20266th14/126%50%+0.24
26/02/20262nd11/142%86%+0.44
25/03/20264th5/174%67%-0.07
08/04/20266th11/142%55%+0.12
20/05/20267th15/261%40%-0.21
18/06/20264th16/116%67%+0.51
01/07/20267th66/10%33%+0.33
13/07/20266th28/10%58%+0.58