2
Gert Lush
9yo Mare · 9-7 · OR 51
Lingfield · Download The At The Races App Handicap · 1m 1f
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#3
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | Ffos Las | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Windsor | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Leicester | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2024-07-18 | Chepstow | 6 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2024-07-06 | Nottingham | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength85%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/2024 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/05/2024 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 13/06/2024 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 83% | +0.41 |
| 06/07/2024 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 18/07/2024 | 11th | 8/1 | 58% | 17% | -0.41 |
| 06/04/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 09/05/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 01/06/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 22% | -0.04 |
| 14/07/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |