4
Monks Mead
5yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 46
Lingfield · Download The At The Races App Handicap · 1m 1f
#2
Rank
Odds
17/2
Win Prob
37%
Place Prob
37%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Lingfield | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Bath | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Lingfield | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Windsor | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Lingfield | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-25 | Lingfield | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength40%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/01/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 31/01/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 08/02/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 25/02/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 25/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 89% | +0.36 |
| 23/05/2026 | 8th | 17/2 | 55% | 50% | -0.05 |
| 18/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 78% | -0.05 |
| 01/07/2026 | 10th | 5/1 | 74% | 18% | -0.56 |
| 13/07/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 67% | +0.11 |