Blameitonthefun
7yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 68
Mountaineer · Race 1 - Claiming · 7f
#10
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Charles Town | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-04-19 | Charles Town | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-04-12 | Charles Town | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-03-14 | Charles Town | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-02-26 | Charles Town | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 09/01/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 15/02/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 26/02/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 14/03/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 12/04/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 19/04/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 09/05/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 12/07/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |