9
Captain Anne
9yo Mare · 8-7 · OR 63
Mountaineer · Race 1 - Claiming · 7f
#6
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-08 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-11 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-28 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-07 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength44%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 13/08/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 17/09/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 07/10/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 28/10/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 88% | +0.72 |
| 11/11/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 38% | -0.10 |
| 22/04/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |
| 13/05/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 08/06/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |