11
Gabriel Seven
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 55
Mountaineer · Race 1 - Claiming · 7f
#14
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Charles Town | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Charles Town | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Charles Town | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Charles Town | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Charles Town | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Charles Town | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 14
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 14th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 24/09/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 26/10/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 01/03/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 15/03/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 26/04/2026 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 11% | -0.65 |
| 07/06/2026 | 10th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 28/06/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 11% | -0.05 |
| 19/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |