4
Jedi's Way
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 69
Mountaineer · Race 1 - Claiming · 7f
#13
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Mountaineer | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 14
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength4%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 13th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 25/02/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 16/03/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 06/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 27/04/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 10/05/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |
| 09/06/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 38% | -0.39 |
| 22/06/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 12/07/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |