Magoo
7yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 81
Mountaineer · Race 1 - Claiming · 7f
#9
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-26 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-18 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-03-16 | Turf Paradise | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-02 | Turf Paradise | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/01/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 26/01/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 17/02/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 02/03/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 70% | -0.12 |
| 16/03/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 18/05/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 26/05/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 43% | -0.45 |
| 22/06/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 07/07/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |