5
My Detroit City
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 63
Mountaineer · Race 1 - Claiming · 7f
#12
Rank
Odds
11/8
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 14
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength25%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 20/12/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 20/02/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 02/04/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 02/05/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 40% | -0.28 |
| 16/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 04/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 33% | -0.49 |
| 27/06/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 57% | -0.28 |
| 09/07/2026 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 25% | -0.68 |