1
Soupersilverdollar
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 83
Mountaineer · Race 1 - Claiming · 7f
#1
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
68%
Place Prob
46%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-07-12 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength97%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/01/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 27/03/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 06/04/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 20% | -0.54 |
| 27/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 71% | -0.05 |
| 11/05/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 26/05/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 22/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 86% | +0.03 |
| 12/07/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 28/07/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |