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7

Kool Kathmandu

6yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 82

Mountaineer · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f

#2

Rank

Odds

7/4

Win Prob

50%

Place Prob

32%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Mountaineer 24/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 98 · 4f110y Fas 120 · beat its mark24/07/2025 · OR 98 par24/07C7OR 98C7 @ Mountaineer 15/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 95 · 5f Fas 123 · below its mark15/09/2025 · OR 95 parC7 @ Mountaineer 29/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 90 · 4f110y 123 · below its mark29/09/2025 · OR 90 par29/09C7OR 90C8 @ Mountaineer 21/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 90 · 4f110y Fas 123 · below its mark21/10/2025 · OR 90 parC8 @ Mountaineer 12/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 87 · 2f Fas 123 · below its mark12/05/2026 · OR 87 par12/05C8OR 87C8 @ Mountaineer 02/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 87 · 2f 123 · below its mark02/06/2026 · OR 87 parC8 @ Mountaineer 30/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 89 · 5f 124 · beat its mark30/06/2026 · OR 89 par30/06C8OR 89C8 @ Mountaineer 15/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 89 · 5f Fas 124 · below its mark15/07/2026 · OR 89 parC8 @ Mountaineer 21/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 89 · 5f 124 · beat its mark21/07/2026 · OR 89 par21/07C8OR 89projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-21Mountaineer?1st2nd−1
2026-07-15Mountaineer?6th7th−1
2026-06-30Mountaineer?1st2nd−1
2026-06-02Mountaineer?4th5th−1
2026-05-12Mountaineer?3rd4th−1
2025-10-21Mountaineer?2nd3rd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0721/1030/0621/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 11
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength80%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/07/20251st4/1198%100%+0.02
15/09/20255th9/276%50%-0.26
29/09/20253rd10/1195%50%-0.45
21/10/20252nd2/189%80%-0.09
12/05/20263rd9/276%60%-0.16
02/06/20264th11/271%57%-0.14
30/06/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
15/07/20266th4/179%17%-0.62
21/07/20261st7/491%100%+0.09