9
Lord Ante
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 70
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f
#8
Rank
Odds
13/8
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-09-30 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-09-07 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-08-18 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-07-23 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-07-15 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 11
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength62%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/12/2024 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 0% | -0.88 |
| 10/06/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 24/06/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 15/07/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 23/07/2025 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 40% | -0.49 |
| 18/08/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 07/09/2025 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 30/09/2025 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 28/07/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 33% | -0.58 |