1
Amour De La Vie
3yo Filly · 8-3 · OR 64
Mountaineer · Race 3 - Claiming · 5f
#1
Rank
Odds
15/8
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
99%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength47%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.6 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: +1.1
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-05-16 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-04-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength67%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 16/05/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 20% | -0.46 |
| 07/06/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 07/07/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 75% | -0.15 |