Eyesonthecandy
4yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 48
Mountaineer · Race 3 - Claiming · 5f
#4
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-07-07 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-06-02 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-04-18 | Charles Town | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-03-29 | Charles Town | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/01/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 28/02/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 14/03/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 20% | -0.38 |
| 29/03/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 18/04/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 12/05/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 02/06/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 40% | -0.47 |
| 07/07/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 20% | -0.41 |
| 16/07/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |