2
Justoutoftheblue
3yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 42
Mountaineer · Race 3 - Claiming · 5f
#6
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength4%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-25 | Charles Town | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-05-02 | Charles Town | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-04-10 | Charles Town | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-03-18 | Charles Town | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength99%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/03/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 10/04/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |
| 02/05/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 25/06/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 20% | -0.51 |
| 08/07/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |