K's Red Bull
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 35
Mountaineer · Race 3 - Claiming · 5f
#3
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-05 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-06 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-09-17 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-01 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 16/07/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |
| 23/07/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 01/09/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 17/09/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 06/10/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 05/11/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |
| 07/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 27/07/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |