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4

Majesty's Cowboy

5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 40

Mountaineer · Race 3 - Claiming · 5f

#5

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength77%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Mountaineer 30/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 45 · 5f Fas 120 · below its mark30/07/2025 · OR 45 par30/07C8OR 45C6 @ Mountaineer 13/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 47 · 7f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/08/2025 · OR 47 parC5 @ Mountaineer 01/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 51 · 6f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/09/2025 · OR 51 par1/09C5OR 51C6 @ Mountaineer 12/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 51 · 6f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/10/2025 · OR 51 parC5 @ Mountaineer 23/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 55 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/10/2025 · OR 55 par23/10C5OR 55C6 @ Mountaineer 19/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 55 · 5f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/05/2026 · OR 55 parC8 @ Mountaineer 02/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 44 · 5f 123 · below its mark02/06/2026 · OR 44 par2/06C8OR 44C5 @ Mountaineer 24/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 39 · 5f110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/06/2026 · OR 39 parC8 @ Mountaineer 07/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 39 · 5f Slo 124 · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 39 par7/07C8OR 39projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-07Mountaineer?4th4th0
2026-06-24Mountaineer?8th5th+3
2026-06-02Mountaineer?6th6th0
2026-05-19Mountaineer?8th6th+2
2025-10-23Mountaineer?5th2nd+3
2025-10-12Mountaineer?4th2nd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0712/102/067/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength5%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/07/20257th33/10%33%+0.33
13/08/20253rd25/10%60%+0.60
01/09/20253rd9/276%60%-0.16
12/10/20254th5/174%40%-0.34
23/10/20255th4/179%0%-0.79
19/05/20268th33/10%13%+0.13
02/06/20266th10/147%0%-0.47
24/06/20268th40/10%0%0.00
07/07/20264th9/153%25%-0.28