IvyArcIvyArc
4

Mayhem

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 62

Presque Isle Downs · Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

76%

Place Prob

57%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength6%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 02/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 6f 1202/06C6C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 06/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 54 · 6f Fas 120 · beat its mark06/07/2026 · OR 54 par6/07C6OR 54projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-06Presque Isle Downs?2nd2nd0
2026-06-02Presque Isle Downs?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/066/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/06/20267th20/10%0%0.00
06/07/20262nd12/137%80%+0.43