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4

Double Up Larry

4yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 52

Presque Isle Downs · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 70y

#4

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼3
Strength76%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 08/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 72 · 1m70y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/07/2025 · OR 72 par8/07C6OR 72C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 16/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 73 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/07/2025 · OR 73 parC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 06/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 73 · 6f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/08/2025 · OR 73 par6/08C6OR 73C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 26/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 74 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/08/2025 · OR 74 parC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 02/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 72 · 1m70y 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/09/2025 · OR 72 par2/09C6OR 72C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 17/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 66 · 6f Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/09/2025 · OR 66 parC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 08/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 65 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/10/2025 · OR 65 par8/10C6OR 65C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 18/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 62 · 5f110y 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/05/2026 · OR 62 parC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 08/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 56 · 1m 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/07/2026 · OR 56 par8/07C6OR 56projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-08Presque Isle Downs?6th3rd+3
2026-05-18Presque Isle Downs?8th5th+3
2025-10-08Presque Isle Downs?3rd0th+3
2025-09-17Presque Isle Downs?4th1st+3
2025-09-02Presque Isle Downs?2nd-1th+3
2025-08-26Presque Isle Downs?4th1st+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0726/088/108/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength1%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/07/20253rd11/271%50%-0.21
16/07/20252nd2/189%75%-0.14
06/08/20254th15/261%63%+0.02
26/08/20254th5/174%40%-0.34
02/09/20252nd1/195%80%-0.15
17/09/20254th10/147%57%+0.10
08/10/20253rd7/282%50%-0.32
18/05/20268th11/271%0%-0.71
08/07/20266th9/153%0%-0.53