5
Mr. Impatient
5yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 59
Presque Isle Downs · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 70y
#3
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength86%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-07-08 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-06-24 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-06-03 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2025-10-22 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength29%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 18/08/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/10/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |
| 15/10/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 22/10/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 78% | +0.04 |
| 03/06/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 24/06/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 08/07/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 22/07/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |