5
Shy Da Runner
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 89
Presque Isle Downs · Race 3 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f
#2
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
39%
Place Prob
36%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-07-06 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-09 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-18 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-05 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-10-13 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 6
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength93%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 15/09/2025 | 4th | 5/6 | 96% | 50% | -0.46 |
| 02/10/2025 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 13/10/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 86% | +0.02 |
| 05/11/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 43% | -0.41 |
| 18/05/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 09/06/2026 | 1st | 8/15 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 06/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 13/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |