2
Straightoutadutton
11yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 87
Presque Isle Downs · Race 3 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f
#5
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-16 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-10-08 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-09-24 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-09-03 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-08-13 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength49%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/2024 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |
| 07/07/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 21/07/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 83% | +0.25 |
| 13/08/2025 | 8th | 9/4 | 88% | 0% | -0.88 |
| 03/09/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 24/09/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 25% | -0.49 |
| 08/10/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 16/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 22/07/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 25% | -0.41 |