6
Hold Your Applause
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 87
Presque Isle Downs · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#4
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Turfway Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Turfway Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Turfway Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength56%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/12/2025 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 9% | -0.28 |
| 17/01/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 13/02/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 90% | +0.11 |
| 28/02/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 73% | -0.06 |
| 14/03/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 28/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 89% | +0.07 |
| 26/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 25/06/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 44% | +0.18 |
| 16/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |