1
Major Thomas
7yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 71
Presque Isle Downs · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#6
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Penn National | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Penn National | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-08-28 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-14 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-07-30 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength36%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10/2024 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |
| 15/05/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 27/06/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 30/07/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 14/08/2025 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 88% | -0.06 |
| 28/08/2025 | 1st | 2/7 | 99% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 21/02/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 25% | -0.46 |
| 06/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/07/2026 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 11% | -0.57 |