Revolutionnaire
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 93
Presque Isle Downs · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.9 /10 (raw 3.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-06-16 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-05-27 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2026-04-24 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2025-07-04 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | -3th | +7 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09/2024 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 08/03/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 26/04/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 04/07/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 28/02/2026 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 11% | -0.60 |
| 24/04/2026 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 27/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |
| 16/06/2026 | 5th | 5/6 | 96% | 20% | -0.76 |
| 07/07/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 20% | -0.43 |