5

Gleaming

3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 53

Presque Isle Downs · Race 5 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 70y

#6

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move2
Strength72%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 11/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 1m Fm 11911/02C9C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 18/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 5f110y 120 · HIGHER CLASS18/05C6C9 @ Presque Isle Downs 01/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 39 · 1m 120 · below its mark01/06/2026 · OR 39 par1/06C9OR 39C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 24/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 39 · 6f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/06/2026 · OR 39 par24/06C6OR 39C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 08/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 51 · 1m 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/07/2026 · OR 51 par8/07C6OR 51C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 22/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 52 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark22/07/2026 · OR 52 par22/07C6OR 52projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-22Presque Isle Downs?8th5th+3
2026-07-08Presque Isle Downs?3rd0th+3
2026-06-24Presque Isle Downs?6th3rd+3
2026-06-01Presque Isle Downs?5th5th0
2026-05-18Presque Isle Downs?7th4th+3
2026-02-11Tampa Bay Downs?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0218/051/0624/068/0722/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 8
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength48%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/02/20269th16/116%0%-0.16
18/05/20267th15/261%14%-0.46
01/06/20265th20/10%20%+0.20
24/06/20266th40/10%29%+0.29
08/07/20263rd25/10%60%+0.60
22/07/20268th25/10%0%0.00