7
Ipledthefifth
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 69
Presque Isle Downs · Race 5 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 70y
#4
Rank
Odds
11/10
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength76%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.6 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-06-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-05-20 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2025-10-07 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 8
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength49%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 20/05/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 15/06/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |
| 29/06/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 15/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 80% | -0.14 |