3
Noble Hero
6yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 57
Presque Isle Downs · Race 5 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 70y
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-22 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-08 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-10 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength25%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 03/08/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/08/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 10/09/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 08/10/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 22/10/2025 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 15/06/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 01/07/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |