1
Violin Fingers
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 54
Presque Isle Downs · Race 5 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 70y
#1
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
85%
Place Prob
49%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength83%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 25/04/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 03/06/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 23/06/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 03/07/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 13/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |