1
Go Simple
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 74
Presque Isle Downs · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength63%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.8
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-27 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-01-24 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-09-09 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-08-13 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2025-07-07 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2025-06-03 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 07/07/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 13/08/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 09/09/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 24/01/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 27/02/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |