Hit That Review
4yo Colt · 8-11 · OR 87
Presque Isle Downs · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-06-24 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Turfway Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-26 | Fair Grounds | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-01-01 | Fair Grounds | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2025-10-31 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 04/08/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 10/09/2025 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 27% | -0.25 |
| 31/10/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 01/01/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 26/02/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 13/03/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 44% | -0.37 |
| 24/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 15/07/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |