3
Kid Rich
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 57
Presque Isle Downs · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-11 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-12-12 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-11-14 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-10-11 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength36%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |
| 14/11/2025 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 12/12/2025 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |
| 11/02/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 03/04/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |