Patriot Bluechip
5yo Horse · 8-11 · OR 78
Presque Isle Downs · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-01-08 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2024-04-12 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2024-03-10 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2024-01-26 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/01/2024 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 10/03/2024 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 12/04/2024 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 78% | +0.01 |
| 08/01/2025 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 26/04/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 24/06/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |