5
Imposter Syndrome
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 68
Presque Isle Downs · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-20 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-02 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 7
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 75% | +0.09 |
| 01/09/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 17/09/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 02/10/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 20/10/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 88% | +0.22 |
| 25/05/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 22/06/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 07/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/07/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |