Mo Dodgy
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 75
Presque Isle Downs · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
25%
Place Prob
26%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-10-16 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-09-19 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 8th | 4th | +3 |
| 2025-09-09 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/2025 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 13% | -0.64 |
| 04/07/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 16/08/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/09/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 19/09/2025 | 8th | 10/3 | 82% | 22% | -0.60 |
| 16/10/2025 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 20% | -0.68 |
| 26/05/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 10/06/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 25% | -0.59 |
| 01/07/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |