Shannonia
5yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 75
Presque Isle Downs · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
41%
Place Prob
33%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 2.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-05-20 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2025-10-22 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |
| 17/09/2025 | 2nd | 8/13 | 97% | 86% | -0.11 |
| 08/10/2025 | 1st | 3/10 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 22/10/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 20/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 09/06/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/06/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 60% | -0.24 |
| 08/07/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 20/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |