6
Thunder Cane
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 75
Presque Isle Downs · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-21 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-30 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-01 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength36%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 29/07/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 33% | -0.51 |
| 13/08/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |
| 01/09/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 30/09/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |
| 21/10/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 22/06/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 07/07/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 20/07/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |