8
Kathlyns Phalanx
7yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 61
Presque Isle Downs · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-01 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-01 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength35%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10/2024 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 02/02/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/03/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 01/09/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 01/10/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 15/10/2025 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 16/06/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 02/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 20/07/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |