9
New Diamond
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 66
Presque Isle Downs · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-12 | Mountaineer | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength57%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/2025 | 2nd | 1/2 | 97% | 83% | -0.14 |
| 14/09/2025 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 28/10/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 29% | -0.50 |
| 12/11/2025 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 28/04/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 01/06/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 16/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 78% | -0.05 |
| 02/07/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 33% | -0.51 |
| 20/07/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |