Rock Tune
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 73
Presque Isle Downs · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-23 | Laurel Park | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2025-11-01 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 20/08/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 01/10/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 01/11/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 55% | +0.39 |
| 23/11/2025 | 9th | 7/2 | 82% | 27% | -0.54 |
| 27/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 08/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 75% | -0.20 |
| 02/07/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 17% | -0.65 |
| 20/07/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 88% | +0.27 |